Israel Brief: Friday, November 7

Israel moves from deterrence to coercion up north while the “day-after” in Gaza is rebuilt on old foundations; partners realign even as Israel’s legal armor is tested at home.

Shabbat Shalom, friends.

In the north, Israel is striking to keep Hezbollah weak and signaling the end of “proportionality,” as evacuation maps go live and Western intelligence now warns the group is running out of patience under base pressure to act. Jerusalem is readying for “days of battle” if restraint cracks, while Washington quietly preps allies.

In Gaza, Netanyahu and Dermer are negotiating a memorandum with Washington to secure full freedom of action as Defense Minister Katz orders the total eradication of Hamas’s tunnel network—“If there are no tunnels, there is no Hamas.” The West’s new stabilization force and UNRWA’s return risk re-cementing the failed order even as the IDF demobilizes reserves and fortifies the frontier.

In Judea and Samaria, nightly raids keep the networks off balance, but the long game remains political—Israel must declare sovereignty, not just manage the mess, or others will.

At home, the draft fight splinters Shas, while inside the IDF, Lt. Gen. Zamir’s interim reshuffle puts Maj. Gen. Dado Bar Kalifa over the Military Advocate General’s corps until Itay Ofir’s appointment clears—an effort to steady the legal front after the Sde Teiman implosion.

Abroad, normalization lanes reopen, EastMed energy routes return to the table, Kazakhstan joins the Abraham Accords, and the money men feeding Hezbollah feel the squeeze.

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⚡️Flash Brief: The Day in 90 Seconds or Less

• South Lebanon: IDF hits Radwan depots and a “Construction Unit” near Tyre after mapped evacuations in Tayr Debba, Ayta al-Jabal and follow-on towns. See The War Today.

• Doctrine shift: Jerusalem signals any fire on Israeli soil will trigger large punitive responses on Hezbollah and Lebanese assets. See Developments to Watch.

• Hezbollah window: Internal pressure mounts for a visible reply; IDF stays on high alert as strike cadence rises. See Developments to Watch.

• Gaza: U.S. circulates a two-year ISF plan as UNRWA restarts Jew-hate classes; Egypt floats “safe passage” for trapped Hamas men—Israel says no. See The War Today.

• Reserves down, border up: IDF demobilizes thousands while moving to “enhanced border security” and continued tunnel demolition. See Developments to Watch.

• Inside Israel: Shas fractures over the draft bill; Sde Teiman probe deepens as the AG recuses and a temporary MAG is tapped. See Inside Israel.

• Realignments: Singapore tightens ties, Saudi talks prime for launch, Kazakhstan joins the Accords; EastMed gas corridor returns to the agenda. See Israel and the World.

The full brief and analysis continue below.

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The War Today