Shalom, friends.
The fronts are steady only on a map—and even there they shift. In Gaza, Hamas continues to stage “finds” under Red Cross cover while refusing any surrender; up north, Hezbollah’s base demands a visible reply as rockets flow in from Syria to bolster their arsenals. Washington’s CMCC is writing the commas, so Jerusalem is trying to lock the verbs with a U.S. memorandum on freedom of action. At home, the MAG crisis moves to the High Court as the IDF installs a temporary stabilizer.
⚡️Flash Brief: The Day in 90 Seconds or Less
Gaza: Hamas rejects Egypt’s offer; operatives entered the Yellow Line with ICRC cover, retrieved a body, and walked back to Gaza. See The War Today.
Aid control: U.S. Civil–Military Center in Kiryat Gat now gatekeeps Gaza aid timing and lanes; Israel eyes an MoU to codify operational sovereignty. See The War Today.
North: IDF drones hit a Lebanese Brigades car near Shbaa and a motorcycle in the south; Israel warned the LAF via U.S. channels to act “fast and deep.” See Developments to Watch.
Missiles: Tracking shows >1,000 long-range rockets moved from Syria into Lebanon in three weeks despite interdictions. See Developments to Watch.
Iran abroad: Mexico foiled a Quds Force plot to kill Israel’s ambassador, highlighting persistent IRGC external ops. See Israel and the World.
Law & order: IDF names Maj. Gen. Dado Bar Kalifa interim head of the MAG Corps’ administration pending High Court guidance; digital forensics proceed. See Inside Israel.
Economy/air lanes: S&P lifts Israel’s outlook to “stable”; El Al and Arkia await Oman’s nod to restore India routes. See Developments to Watch.
The full brief and analysis continue below.
We’re in a phase where each “humanitarian” movement doubles as leverage and every northern interdiction shaves Hezbollah’s courier net without advertising escalation. Diplomacy is busy branding the truce; the battlefield is busy proving it’s on borrowed time.
Read the day with that lens and the logic of the next moves—tight lanes, faster denials, fewer photo ops—comes into focus.